MESSAGES · DATA RULES

Median instead of best — the most important data rule after 60.

Senior golfers save the best shot of the season and plan around it. This systematically leads to approach shots that come up short. The most important senior data rule is simple: Save the median, plan the median, accept the median.

MA 7-iron goes 145 meters — I've been saying that for 15 years. In reality, the median is 125 meters. This 20-meter difference has cost me more strokes than any wrong tee choice. Every second 7-iron approach systematically came up short. With median values on my bag card, I now hit the green almost twice as often. A simple rule, gigantic effect.

Best values systematically distort senior decision-making. Human memory stores outstanding experiences – the best 7-iron shot of the season becomes the standard expectation. In reality, the median is typically 8-20 m below the best value. Those who plan with the median get onto the green – those who plan with the best value end up in front of it.

Three examples of best-vs-median bias

Example 1 — Driver Distance
BEST 175 M, MEDIAN 158 M.
Senior-Driver-Best (perfectly centered, tailwind, best form): 175 m. Median of all drives in a season: 158 m. Planning with "best" results in 17 m less distance—systematically missing approaches.
Example 2 — Wedge Distance
Best play weight 110 million, median 90 million.
Senior-PW-Best (perfectly centered, optimal conditions): 110 m. Median: 90 m. 20 m difference. Approaches with PW-Best planning systematically land 15 m before the green.
Example 3 — Putt Distance
Best putt 6m, median 2.5m.
Best senior putt from 6 meters: holed. Median from 6 meters: 30 % holed (i.e., 1 out of 3). Using best values for senior putt expectations leads to frustration—using the median yields realistic strategies.
8–20 m
Typical difference between best and median score per club in senior golf
TrackMan Senior Performance Database 2024
Those who plan with best-case scenarios will systematically fall short — the most common avoidable senior score error.

Three Steps to Median Discipline

Step 1 — Bag card with median values
WRITTEN IN THE BAG.
Median-Carry for club, write on a card, put in the bag. Not Best — Median (50th percentile value). When deciding on an approach shot on the course, consult the card, not your feel.
Step 2 – Determine Launch Monitor Median
✓ ONE HOUR WITH THE PGA PRO.
A launch monitor session with a PGA pro provides exact median values. 80-120 €. The first ball doesn't count, nor does the best one — the median over 10 balls. Investment with a great score ROI.
Step 3 — Median by Each Club Choice
DISCIPLINE ON THE TRACK.
During every approach shot decision, mentally ask: The median distance of this club? Distance to the green? Which club is appropriate? Banish best-case scenarios from your mind. Senior’s measurement discipline in action.

The single most expensive mistake in senior golf is planning shots with maximum distances instead of median distances. It costs every senior player strokes—every single round.

— Dr. Mark Broadie, Strokes-Gained researcher, Columbia Business School

Three Principles of Median Discipline.

Bag card as a senior standard

Median values in writing in the bag — prevents emotional decisions under pressure.

Delete Best Memories Consciously

Mark one best-case mental estimate as best (not median). Prevents memory bias when planning.

Follow-up measurements semiannually

Median values shift. Bi-annual Launch Monitor update — avoids outdated bag cards.

On this page

ON THIS PAGE
01 Three Best vs. Median Examples
02 Three Steps to Median Discipline
03 What Median-Discipline Doesn't Replace
MS
Mathias Struwe
PUBLISHER · HCP 31 · 68 YRS.
8-20 m
Difference between Best vs. Median per club.
REFERENCE
Broadie, M. (2014): Every Shot Counts. TrackMan Performance Database 2024. MyTPI Senior Performance Research. PGA Tour Stats 2014–2024. IAGTO Senior Golf Analysis 2024.

What Median-Discipline Doesn't Replace

Median values determine the right club choice — but they don't replace practice itself. Those who plan with medians but hit the club poorly only benefit partially. Median discipline + hit quality training = the complete senior approach leverage.

THREE FIRST STEPS

How to Establish Median Discipline in 30 Days

01
Book Launch Monitor Session
One hour with a PGA pro using a launch monitor. €80-120. Record the median carry for all clubs. Write it down.
02
Create a bag tag
Median values per club on laminated card. Put in the bag. Actively consult on the next round.
03
Consciously correct recall bias
Every 7-iron shot, 145m – thought process: mentally correct to the median value. 30 days of discipline – automatic median thinking.

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